AI-generated Verify all data independently before making financial decisions.
🇺🇸 United States
GDP2.0%
CPI2.4%
Rate3.75%
UE4.3%
🇪🇺 Eurozone
GDP1.2%(a)
HICP2.0%
DFR2.00%
UE6.2%
🇨🇳 China
GDP4.0%
CPI−0.1%
LPR3.00%
UE~4.7%
🇯🇵 Japan
GDP0.2%
CPI3.0%
BoJ0.73%
UE2.8%
🇮🇳 India
GDP6.3%
CPI3.0%
Repo5.50%
UE~4.9%
Improving
Stable
Deteriorating
Mixed
Diverging
Critical
| Theme |
US | EU | CN | JP | IN |
| ▶ Inflation |
↓︎CPI 2.4% |
↑︎HICP 2.0% |
→︎CPI −0.1% |
↓︎CPI 3.0% |
↓︎CPI 3.0% |
|
| ▶ Monetary Policy |
→︎3.75% |
→︎DFR 2.00% |
→︎LPR 3.00% |
→︎0.73% |
→︎Repo 5.50% |
|
| ▶ Property |
→︎— |
→︎— |
→︎— |
→︎— |
→︎— |
|
| ▶ Trade & Tariffs |
↓︎Def −$57.3B |
→︎— |
→︎— |
→︎— |
→︎— |
|
High Importance
| Theme |
US | EU | CN | JP | IN |
| ▶ Labor Market |
↑︎UE 4.3% |
→︎UE 6.2% |
↑︎UE ~4.7% |
↑︎UE 2.8% |
→︎UE ~4.9% |
|
| ▶ Consumer |
→︎— |
→︎— |
→︎— |
→︎— |
→︎— |
|
| ▶ Credit |
↑︎M2 5.1% |
↓︎M3 3.0% |
↑︎M2 8.2% |
→︎— |
→︎— |
|
| ▶ Growth |
↑︎GDP 2.0% |
↑︎GDP 1.2%(a) |
→︎GDP 4.0% |
→︎GDP 0.2% |
↑︎GDP 6.3% |
|
Monitoring
| Theme |
US | EU | CN | JP | IN |
| ▶ Currency / FX |
→︎DXY −3.8% |
→︎EUR 5.9% |
→︎CNY −6.0% |
→︎JPY 7.7% |
↑︎INR 10.3% |
|
| ▶ Fiscal / Debt |
↓︎D/GDP 121% |
→︎— |
↓︎D/GDP 102% |
↑︎D/GDP 234% |
↑︎D/GDP 79.6% |
|
| ▶ Demographics |
↓︎LFP 62.4% |
→︎— |
→︎— |
↓︎WAP 73412780 |
→︎— |
|
Scenario Probabilities · 12-Month Outlook
US
Base Case55%
Risk Scenario25%
Tail Risk20%
EU
Base Case55%
Risk Scenario25%
Tail Risk20%
CN
Base Case55%
Risk Scenario25%
Tail Risk20%
JP
Base Case55%
Risk Scenario25%
Tail Risk20%
IN
Base Case55%
Risk Scenario25%
Tail Risk20%